Year: 2016

  • What does 2017 have in store?

    The fall in sterling turned 2016 from a difficult year for UK-based investors into a good one, but with sterling more likely to appreciate in 2017 than weaken further, that tailwind is no longer blowing.

  • Italy triggers next Euro-zone crisis

    Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s resounding referendum defeat on 4th December, and his subsequent resignation, have not caused much market turmoil. But over the long term, the political and financial consequences are difficult to anticipate.

  • Uncertainty high in France

    Sunday’s final round of the Republican Presidential primary may be decisive for France and Europe in 2017. The winner – either Alain Juppé or François Fillon – would be a major opponent of Front National’s Marine Le Pen next year.

  • It’s Trump!

    Donald Trump has been elected the 45th President of the United States.  Much like Brexit, this was widely unanticipated by political commentators, pollsters and investors alike, and the initial market reaction to the result was sharply negative.

  • Winners and losers in Sterling’s fall

    Just after the vote for Brexit, the pound was in turmoil and fell about 11%. Sterling is falling again and recently fell to its lowest level in more than 30 years.

  • Did Portugal’s bailout work?

    It is always a pleasure being in Lisbon. Yet, there are more people around my hotel begging for money than I have seen before, and there is certainly not the feeling of an economy emerging strongly after the debt crisis.

  • Israel’s cost of living problem

    Israel is more expensive than Japan.

  • Brazil’s Olympian returns

    The Olympics and Paralympics have put Brazil under the spotlight this summer. As well as the fantastic sporting action (with a special nod to Team GB), the country’s stock market proved a real champion.

  • Oil glut drives prices lower again

    Oil fell to 12-year lows under $30 a barrel in January 2016, before almost doubling by May. Now it is back on the slide.

  • Interest rates down – and further cuts lie ahead

    Yesterday’s 0.25% interest rate cut by the Bank of England is the first rate change in over seven years.

  • Italy’s failing banks worry Euro-zone

    The possibility of banking collapses in Italy is concerning many European leaders.

  • India’s dampened growth

    I was not prepared for the severity of the monsoon rains on my visit to the capital, New Delhi, which makes travel around the city virtually impossible.

  • Spain after Brexit

    Whilst it is usually a joy to be in Madrid on a July afternoon, my meetings with financial professionals today have been dominated with worries about the UK’s decision to leave the European Union and how it will affect Spain.

  • US shrugs off Brexit

    The US market was shocked by Brexit. US companies get about 13% of their revenues from continental Europe.

  • Buy To Let’s worrying outlook

    Buying a property to rent out has long been a popular investment for both Britons as well as foreign investments, wanting to benefit from rises in the UK’s property market.

  • Life after Brexit

    Following Thursday’s clear win for the ‘Leave’ campaign in the UK’s referendum on the European Union, Britain is adjusting to its future.

  • Two days to go : UK decides on its European future

    Investment markets are see-sawing in the final stretches of the EU referendum campaign, but investors will be wondering whether there will be any respite once the voting is over.

  • It’s got to be summer : France is on strike.

    This week, I took my family to a holiday in Brittany, France, meaning we could evidence at first hand the current disputes and the dysfunctional nature of France’s economy.

    Fuel is running low.

  • Greece braced for more austerity

    It’s been almost a year since I was last in Athens, but life continues as before. I was unable to travel from the airport on the metro since it is on strike, together with trains, trams and buses.

  • Germany’s economic mirage

    Most commentators are optimistic on the prospects for growth in the European equity markets. Company earnings are growing and monetary easing aids the chances of a continued recovery.

  • London property price fall

    In March, we reported that London’s property market may finally be cooling. Latest figures now confirm that to be the case.

  • Portugal : Beyond austerity

    It is always a pleasure to be in Portugal. Particularly yesterday, watching Lisbon’s residents celebrate National Freedom Day.

  • Brexit : Official campaign launched

    Last Friday saw the start of the official 10-week campaign leading to the 23rd June referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union. Markets will be reactive to swings in the campaign, which can also be influenced by other global events.

  • Myanmar’s stock market : open for business

    In December, I wrote about Myanmar’s economic potential. The first few months of this year have already seen significant developments to help it realize its true potential.

  • An oil price recovery?

    A few weeks ago the oil price was said to be heading down to $20 a barrel, or even less. The glut of oil was increasing as Iran re-joined the global economy and Saudi Arabia kept pumping furiously.

  • Deflation makes Japan a buy

    Lex in the Financial Times recently reported that “If China wants a lesson in how to shock markets without upsetting them, it could look to its neighbour.

  • London’s falling property market

    Unlike much of the rest of the UK, house prices in London have risen sharply in recent years, and surpassed their pre-2008 peaks. This started in the “super-prime” areas of central and west London.

  • India’s auspicious outlook

     

    When India’s prime minister, Narendra Modi, came to power in May 2014, his victory propelled the stock-market to a new record. But now his honeymoon is well and truly over.

  • UK’s banks are suffering

    Two of Britain’s lenders with big global footprints both announced disappointing results last week.

  • Brexit campaign launched

    After a period of long and, at times, tense negotiations, David Cameron has secured a deal with the European Union about the terms of the UK membership.

  • Oil price plunge damaging government finances

    The damage to government finances caused by the sharp slide in oil prices is spreading far beyond the Middle East.

  • Japan: a buying opportunity

    Japan has fallen into another bear market, with the Nikkei 225 index now 20% below its early December level.

  • An Egyptian Anniversary

    It is an exciting time to be Cairo. My hotel is on Tahir Square and today is the fifth anniversary of the uprising here against the ousted dictator, Hosni Mubarak.

  • Oil prices: lower for longer

    The oil price has today fallen below $28 a barrel amid fears the lifting of Western sanctions on Iran could worsen the existing oversupply problem. Oil prices have now fallen by more than 70% in the past 15 months.

  • A volatile start to 2016

    2016 began on a sour note for global equity markets.

Articles from 2020

  • Is Britain’s house-price boom set to continue?
  • The Dollar’s on the slide
  • World’s debt balloons
  • A global property boom
  • Oil prices stalling
  • London property remains over-valued
  • South Africa faces storm
  • Recession in Turkey
  • China leads global recovery whilst tensions escalate
  • A sunny retirement
  • Hong Kong’s new normal
  • UK House Prices falling
  • Reset for the recovery
  • Inflation will return
  • Stocks stumbling
  • No-deal Brexit looms again
  • Britain’s housing market may avoid a crash
  • New Hong Kong security laws lead to falling currency
  • India’s collapsing economy
  • Hong Kong’s struggle continues
  • Oil Prices plunging over global GDP shock
  • Market Update : 23rd April 2020
  • The housing market’s deep freeze
  • Pandemic fears continue to panic markets
  • Is Hong Kong becoming a ‘failed state?’
  • What Brexit means for your money
  • Growth in self-employed makes taxation taxing
  • Will China’s virus outbreak damage the economy?
  • Britain’s innovators should keep their tax breaks

Articles from 2019

  • Time to buy Britain
  • UK Election looms
  • Hong Kong protests are an urgent warning to Beijing
  • Preparing for Trump’s re-election
  • Turkey’s stocks : undoubtedly cheap
  • Labour’s tax plans need attention
  • UK property becoming more affordable
  • Brexit Breakthrough?
  • Portugal : A Euro Success Story facing political challenge
  • Oil price surge after Saudi oil facilities attacked
  • China toughening out trade tensions
  • UK Election looms as no-deal Brexit blocked for now
  • Beware pitfalls in buying overseas property
  • Hong Kong’s perfect storm
  • US/China trade truce?
  • Emerging markets bouncing back
  • Citizenship for sale
  • Not just football that’s coming home
  • Recovery in Greece?
  • Whisky galore
  • Russia’s recovery is boosting region
  • ‘Slowbalisation’ of global property
  • The UK economy is having a run of success.. despite the political mess.
  • India’s PM heading for May victory
  • ‘Golden visa’ residency schemes under the spotlight
  • US downturn on the horizon?
  • A380 – Another European prestige project fails
  • Optimism in Brazil
  • The Euro’s 20th birthday
  • Investing in Indonesia
  • Emerging Europe comes of age
  • Oil slide boosting growth
  • Global property prices easing

Articles from 2018

  • Politics, interest rates and trade wars
  • Invest for Brexit – whatever the outcome
  • US mid-term: Democrat House, Republican Senate
  • Egypt’s President is creating enemies
  • An end to the bull market?
  • Turkey’s crisis could have huge repercussions
  • No deal, no pension?
  • Change brings opportunity in the Gulf
  • Build-to-Rent investors are snapping up London flats
  • Things are getting ugly in Turkey…
  • Middle East becoming a new region in the investment landscape
  • Brexit is heating up
  • Merkel on the brink?
  • UK house prices continue to slow, whilst London continues to fall
  • US interest rates move higher
  • Great news on Greece
  • European shares slump over continuing political upheaval in Italy
  • An oil rich nation, with no oil
  • Bread, Freedom, Dignity in Tunisia
  • Which global cities have the highest living costs?
  • Agreement on path to Brexit
  • What’s ailing the UK property market?
  • China’s return to dictatorship
  • Year of the Dog starts with a rollercoaster
  • Italy heads to the polls
  • Technology is speeding up growth in Africa
  • Oil bulls are about to be disappointed
  • Market volatility surging
  • China braced for a slowdown
  • UK growth better than expected in 2017
  • Iran’s uprising gathers pace
  • UK House prices to remain subdued in 2018

Articles from 2017

  • Catalonia Heading to the polls
  • Sufficient process takes Brexit to the next step
  • Prospering post-Brexit
  • How will European instability affect Brexit?
  • Tourism is proving an exciting investment opportunity
  • Tensions rising in Middle East
  • Interest rates to rise
  • Qatar’s blockade hurts its enforcers
  • Deal or no Deal?
  • Spain’s Day of Unity
  • Global real estate is in a bubble
  • Qatar : No resolution in sight
  • Where next for Sterling?
  • UK property grows 2.1% over last year
  • Turkey : looking eastward?
  • Venezuela : Tensions Reach New Highs
  • UK/US Trade Deal : A big opportunity
  • Crisis in Gulf deepens
  • UK house prices continue to fall
  • Greece needs a crisis
  • Egypt : visitors needed
  • Greece’s debt saga grinds on
  • Le Pen and Macron in French run off
  • Here we go again
  • Pound’s Strength withstanding Brexit
  • Bottlenecks in Bangladesh
  • London’s luxury property market is suffering
  • Article 50 to be triggered on 29th March
  • Europe successfully shrugs off political risk
  • Is renting in London loosing its appeal?
  • Power struggle is risking Morocco’s economic growth
  • Another Greece crisis looms…
  • Le Pen sets out her ‘commitments’ as France prepares to vote
  • Expatriates warned to avoid portfolio bonds
  • No need for a bust up in UK/EU talks
  • ‘Buy to Let’ challenges in 2017
  • Is the UK stock market surge about to slow?  
  • Will 2017 bring another European crisis?

Articles from 2016

  • What does 2017 have in store?
  • Italy triggers next Euro-zone crisis
  • Uncertainty high in France
  • It’s Trump!
  • Winners and losers in Sterling’s fall
  • Did Portugal’s bailout work?
  • Israel’s cost of living problem
  • Brazil’s Olympian returns
  • Oil glut drives prices lower again
  • Interest rates down – and further cuts lie ahead
  • Italy’s failing banks worry Euro-zone
  • India’s dampened growth
  • Spain after Brexit
  • US shrugs off Brexit
  • Buy To Let’s worrying outlook
  • Life after Brexit
  • Two days to go : UK decides on its European future
  • It’s got to be summer : France is on strike.
  • Greece braced for more austerity
  • Germany’s economic mirage
  • London property price fall
  • Portugal : Beyond austerity
  • Brexit : Official campaign launched
  • Myanmar’s stock market : open for business
  • An oil price recovery?
  • Deflation makes Japan a buy
  • London’s falling property market
  • India’s auspicious outlook
  • UK’s banks are suffering
  • Brexit campaign launched
  • Oil price plunge damaging government finances
  • Japan: a buying opportunity
  • An Egyptian Anniversary
  • Oil prices: lower for longer
  • A volatile start to 2016

Articles from 2015

  • Burma’s time in the sun
  • Think twice before investing in UK property
  • Thailand’s Government gets pro-active
  • Pressures in Europe re-emerge
  • Clouds gather over Turkey
  • Property Bubbles emerging
  • UK visa scheme under the spotlight
  • Asia’s fortunes rising
  • Japan : Bouncing back
  • China falls again
  • Growth forecast in UK property
  • A Greek adventure
  • Africa’s emerging middle class
  • London property prices on the slide?
  • China’s Fall
  • Oil prices remain low
  • Eid Mubarak
  • The Russian recovery
  • Return of the PIGS
  • Brazil : under new management
  • Greece: a good investment for the brave?
  • Still no deal in Greece
  • How can a country boost its GDP by 25%?
  • A tough year for Russia
  • Italy’s brighter future
  • Chinese equities : Crash looming?
  • The latest on Greece
  • Japan’s bull market to continue
  • Time to buy broken Brazil?
  • Crucial countdown to Nigeria’s election
  • Bangladesh’s broken politics
  • China : Trapped between strong yuan and high debt
  • Morocco’s growth prospects
  • Passports for sale
  • The Greek dilemna
  • Fast growth does not equal strong stock market performance
  • The Polish power house

Articles from 2014

  • Greek economy faces ‘irreparable’ damage
  • Argentina has been relegated
  • Is a Chinese soft-landing possible?
  • Romania heads to the polls
  • Radical change in Mexico
  • A boost for gold
  • Europe’s triple dip recession
  • Paralysis in Paris
  • Australia’s downturn
  • Italian woes
  • A jewel in the emerging market crown
  • Indonesian election results due
  • Won rising….
  • World Cup Party in Brazil ?
  • A new Cold War ?
  • Europe : Power moving East
  • India’s election results
  • The Bangladesh transformation
  • Is the Euro crisis really over?
  • International residents make record UK tax contribution
  • The Manila Growth Story
  • Is Japan changing?
  • UK pensions are getting interesting
  • UK Investor Visa shake up
  • Qatar is being promoted!
  • Will Russia buck the rout in emerging markets?
  • China slowdown
  • Turkey : sliding out of control?
  • What’s in store for 2014?
  • Totally UK
  • The falling price of an EU passport

Articles from 2013

  • Is a Grexit still likely?
  • Capital Gains Tax (CGT) Extended To Non-UK Residents Owning UK Residential Property
  • Knightsbridge Wealth visits Portugal
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